It’s true, the Israeli government says there is no Intifada, but the Palestinians think otherwise. If there is an escalation, it will move from knifings and the occasional shooting attack to full fledged gun battles and bus bombings. The challenge for the Israeli government is to actually believe the words of the Palestinians instead of disregarding them as propaganda for the street.
The Israeli government and security apparatus has always been on the ball in relation to threats from the outside. The fact is now is the time for Nasrallah to attack in order to stay relevant in the fast changing Middle East. More importantly for Nasrallah is Putin’s growing influence in the region. By harming Israel, Hezbollah can reinvigorate its value in Russia’s eyes, while lowering Israel’s stature.