The deconfliction mechanism seems to be in effect as Israel continues to be aloud to attack Hezbollah with impunity. As we have noted before, this serves Russia’s interests by keeping Iran and its client groups in check. The question remains though, at what juncture does this sort of thing get in the way of Putin’s Syria strategy or what happens if the deconfliction mechanism fails?
Although Russia is destroying ISIS throughout Syria, the leader of the Caliphate El-Baghdadi saw the need to reassert himself into the geopolitical situation by threatening Israel. Don’t expect direct attacks yet, but using Israel to rally Jihadists from around the world is a clever strategy. It also means that those who oppose El-Baghdadi are in support of Israel.
Yehuda Glick, one of the leading Temple Mount activists is surprisingly set yo enter the Knesset if one more Likud member leaves or is forced to resign. This will put Jewish prayer rights on the mount center stage in the Knesset, something the Prime Minister fears, but can do very little about.